Friday, July 22, 2005

Is China the new Germany?

Ladies and Gentlemen, mark these words, China is going to be the 21'st century equivalent to Germany in the early to mid 20'th century.

Why do I say this? Simple. China has shown every sign of preparing to embark on a program of expansion. Since there isn't any magic real estate fairy making new unclaimed territory in that part of the world, obviously that expansion will be at the end of a gun. China has on a couple of recent occasions made it quite clear that they will treat our interference in a China/Tiawan dispute with a declaration of all out war, up to and including Nuclear Weapons. China has spent heavily on military expenditures, and has obtained on the world market through intermediaries or developed internally technologies that the US has banned for export to them. China has built a very capable amphibious assault capability in the last few years and has been making louder and more strident demands concerning Tiawan. China has bought up a huge percentage of world steel output as well as world nickel alloy output and oil output. China has financed these expendatures by artificially pegging it's currency to our own. Today China announced that they will no longer peg thier currency to ours, but if you read the release carefully you find that it still is coupled to or currency fairly tightly. So this announcement was really nothing more than whitewash and smoke. Every time you and I buy some cheap bauble at any chain store in America we help finance this military buildup.

China is the true Phantom Menace....


Blogger Matt said...

I fear you could be right.

Just out of curiosity, what's the significance of nickel alloy?

July 23, 2005 9:47 PM  
Blogger Rorschach said...

Nickel alloys (Inconel, Waspalloy, Incolly, Hastalloy etc.) are used in things like the hot sections of jet engines, Rocket engines, Nuclear reactors. The largest use of nickel is as an alloying addition to high performance steels. Steels that are through-hardenable and retain a large percentage of thier strength when very hot. Nickel is used in Austentic Stainless steel (AISI 300 series including 304 and 316 stainless) Nickel additions in 300 series stainless range from 5% to over 10% nickel. Chromium is another major element on the world market that China is buying up en mass, and chromium is found in ALL of the above metal alloys as well.

July 25, 2005 8:30 AM  
Blogger Kathy Herrmann said...

China is a leader in pebble bed nuclear reactors and has an aggressive plan of development for the coming years. This might explain some of the interest in nickel alloy.

The technology still needs refining, but Wired reported Chinergy expects to nail down the technology by 2020 and build 30 reactors in the first half of this century.

Here's the link to the Wired article...

July 25, 2005 10:07 AM  
Blogger Rorschach said...

One wonders if Russia has awakened to the threat to themselves. China is in desperate need of more natural resources to service it's burgeoning economy. Just to China's north is Siberia, which is one of the earth's prime treasure troves. Gold, Diamonds, Oil, Uranium, Platinum. All can be found there in abundance.

China has been building new fighter and bomber aircraft like mad. And these are home grown designs, not Russian knockoffs. China has been upgrading it's launch capability too. Thier space program may look harmless, but the same Long March booster that is lifting the Chinese version of the Soyuz capsule can lob a 100 Megaton nuke anywhere on the planet too. China's warheads are about where Ours and Russia's were 30 years or so ago, but they are catching up fast. Big and bulky, they need a big launch platform. but soon they'll be able to put MIRVs on those same launch platforms, if they aren't already. China's Launch capability used to be very unreliable, but in recent years that reliability has gone way up. So instead of needing thousands of launch platforms to assure a decent number of hits, now they merely need hundreds. The Accuracy has improved vastly too, thanks to technology transfers dating back to the first Clinton Admin.

On the issue of Nuclear power. I feel it is high time we as a nation woke up to the reality that it is the only energy source that does not significantly pollute the environment. I'm not a fan of pebble bed reactors. There are too many safety issues with them in my mind. What happens if the pebbles crack open or jam in the recycling loop? What about fuel fleas caused by the pebbles rubbing against one another? There are better third generation designs in my opinion.

July 25, 2005 11:02 AM  
Blogger Stan Burton said...

Some anonymous asshole asked in a comment I did not approve because they started out by calling me a redneck, asked why we were itching for a war. I've looked all through here and I do not see where I said anything about itching for a war. I see where I stated China was itching for one. You can pretend the world will ignore you, but that doesn't make it so. China will not ignore us or Russia or Australia. they want resources and land. Taiwan does not have either, but Russia and Australia do. They will be the target. Being part of NATO, we will be obligated by treaty to get involved if Australia is targeted.

December 09, 2012 12:59 PM  

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